<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Optimistic Skeptic]]></title><description><![CDATA[Chemical Engineer (Purdue) MBA Finance and Economics (University of Chicago) Trying my best to have fun using my brain to look at science, data, facts and logic to analyze important (at least to me) questions and sometimes even influence somebody]]></description><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qIh_!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00d6c222-81fe-46fb-9dd2-b501d3f3cc9e_1107x1107.png</url><title>Optimistic Skeptic</title><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Mon, 18 May 2026 00:55:08 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Robert Gonzalez]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[rggonz@optimistic-skeptic.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[rggonz@optimistic-skeptic.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[rggonz@optimistic-skeptic.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[rggonz@optimistic-skeptic.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Yes Virginia, there is a Supreme Court of Virginia]]></title><description><![CDATA[Ye]]></description><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/yes-virginia-there-is-a-supreme-court</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/yes-virginia-there-is-a-supreme-court</guid><pubDate>Fri, 08 May 2026 23:44:38 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fH7B!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8c48a80-c3e1-4707-aa3d-58fd32aae724_1920x1371.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fH7B!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8c48a80-c3e1-4707-aa3d-58fd32aae724_1920x1371.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fH7B!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8c48a80-c3e1-4707-aa3d-58fd32aae724_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fH7B!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8c48a80-c3e1-4707-aa3d-58fd32aae724_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fH7B!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8c48a80-c3e1-4707-aa3d-58fd32aae724_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fH7B!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8c48a80-c3e1-4707-aa3d-58fd32aae724_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fH7B!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8c48a80-c3e1-4707-aa3d-58fd32aae724_1920x1371.jpeg" width="1456" height="1040" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b8c48a80-c3e1-4707-aa3d-58fd32aae724_1920x1371.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1040,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:381735,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/i/196959498?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8c48a80-c3e1-4707-aa3d-58fd32aae724_1920x1371.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fH7B!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8c48a80-c3e1-4707-aa3d-58fd32aae724_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fH7B!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8c48a80-c3e1-4707-aa3d-58fd32aae724_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fH7B!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8c48a80-c3e1-4707-aa3d-58fd32aae724_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fH7B!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8c48a80-c3e1-4707-aa3d-58fd32aae724_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p>Fact: Virginia Constitution requires approval by both houses in TWO successive sessions of the General Assembly, with an intervening general election of members of the House of Delegates</p><p>Fact: More than 1.3 million Virginian voters had already cast their ballots in the general election before the Legislature&#8217;s first approval.</p><p>Virginia Supreme Court ruled that Virginia Legislature did not follow the Virginia Constitution because the first approval happened during a general election not before the general election as required.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Start of good thing?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Great article-]]></description><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/start-of-good-thing</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/start-of-good-thing</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 07 May 2026 13:10:14 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!oX1A!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42aa87d2-d3b1-4ef7-b71b-6da9a8c7cf12_1920x1371.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!oX1A!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42aa87d2-d3b1-4ef7-b71b-6da9a8c7cf12_1920x1371.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!oX1A!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42aa87d2-d3b1-4ef7-b71b-6da9a8c7cf12_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!oX1A!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42aa87d2-d3b1-4ef7-b71b-6da9a8c7cf12_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!oX1A!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42aa87d2-d3b1-4ef7-b71b-6da9a8c7cf12_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!oX1A!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42aa87d2-d3b1-4ef7-b71b-6da9a8c7cf12_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!oX1A!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42aa87d2-d3b1-4ef7-b71b-6da9a8c7cf12_1920x1371.jpeg" width="1456" height="1040" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/42aa87d2-d3b1-4ef7-b71b-6da9a8c7cf12_1920x1371.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1040,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1196063,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/i/196777165?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42aa87d2-d3b1-4ef7-b71b-6da9a8c7cf12_1920x1371.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!oX1A!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42aa87d2-d3b1-4ef7-b71b-6da9a8c7cf12_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!oX1A!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42aa87d2-d3b1-4ef7-b71b-6da9a8c7cf12_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!oX1A!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42aa87d2-d3b1-4ef7-b71b-6da9a8c7cf12_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!oX1A!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42aa87d2-d3b1-4ef7-b71b-6da9a8c7cf12_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p>Great article-</p><p>Commentary</p><p><strong>More Colleges Are</strong></p><p><strong>Closing. It&#8217;s About</strong></p><p><strong>Time</strong></p><p>The market for higher education isn&#8217;t failing,</p><p>but it&#8217;s taking an awfully long time to adjust.</p><p><em><strong>By Roland Fryer</strong></em></p><p>UTC-04:00</p><p>Hampshire College, alma mater of filmmaker</p><p>Ken Burns, announced in April that it will close</p><p>after the fall semester. Sterling College, a 130-</p><p>acre working farm in northeastern Vermont, will</p><p>graduate its final class in May. The Huron</p><p>Consulting Group projects that 442 private</p><p>nonprofit colleges enrolling roughly 670,000</p><p>students are at risk of closing or merging within</p><p>a decade. The instinctive response is elegiac:</p><p>lament the shuttered campus, mourn the futures</p><p>it might have made, hope for rescue. Mr. Burns</p><p>called Hampshire&#8217;s closing &#8220;an extraordinary</p><p>loss.&#8221;</p><p>Is it just me, or is this good news for America?</p><p>Closing these institutions means students are</p><p>slowly ceasing to overpay for scant added value.</p><p>If more market correction is to come, that tells us</p><p>something important&#8212;about higher education</p><p>and about other education sectors we have built</p><p>to avoid correction altogether. The question isn&#8217;t</p><p>how to save these institutions. It is how to</p><p>accelerate market forces.</p><p>The private-college sector didn&#8217;t rise in a laissez-</p><p>faire market. It was built by federal loan</p><p>programs, the postwar college wage premium</p><p>and decades of expanding demand. In that</p><p>environment, &#8220;more college seats&#8221; and &#8220;more</p><p>social value&#8221; came to mean the same thing. They</p><p>weren&#8217;t.</p><p>Tuition and fees have outpaced overall inflation</p><p>for decades, and the strain is no longer</p><p>theoretical. Robert Kelchen, a professor of</p><p>education at the University of Tennessee,Knoxville, found in his analysis of college</p><p>finance data for fiscal 2024 that 31% of private</p><p>nonprofit institutions posted losses. Moody&#8217;s</p><p>downgraded St. Michael&#8217;s College in Colchester,</p><p>Vt., to junk in 2022. This isn&#8217;t a story about the</p><p>demographic cliff. The trouble was here first.</p><p>The good news is the schools doing the most for</p><p>upward mobility aren&#8217;t the ones closing. A</p><p>mobility report card study shows that schools</p><p>such as California State University, Los Angeles</p><p>and Stony Brook University, on New York&#8217;s</p><p>Long Island, pair relatively high access for low-</p><p>income students with strong success rates,</p><p>producing mobility rates&#8212;the percentage of</p><p>students who come from the bottom fifth of the</p><p>income distribution and end up in the top fifth&#8212;</p><p>of 9.9% and 8.4% respectively. The costs are</p><p>wildly different: average annual cost on the</p><p>College Scorecard is $3,967 at Cal State Los</p><p>Angeles, $18,784 at Stony Brook and $25,239 at</p><p>St. Michael&#8217;s. The point isn&#8217;t that every private</p><p>college underperforms every public college. It is</p><p>that upward mobility is available, at scale,</p><p>outside the prestige hierarchy and often at much</p><p>lower prices.</p><p>Selectivity predicts selection. It doesn&#8217;t reliably</p><p>predict value for the typical student. The</p><p>foundational result in this literature is Stacy Dale</p><p>and Alan Krueger&#8217;s 1999 paper, which used a</p><p>matched-applicant design&#8212;comparing students</p><p>with others who applied to and were admitted by</p><p>the same set of colleges&#8212;and found that the</p><p>earnings premium from attending a more</p><p>selective school essentially vanishes. They did</p><p>find one notable exception: For black, Hispanic</p><p>and first-generation students from low-income</p><p>families, selectivity did predict higher earnings.</p><p>That heterogeneity isn&#8217;t what the defenders of</p><p>small private liberal-arts colleges are arguing</p><p>about. The schools that move minority and low-</p><p>income students into the labor-market premium</p><p>Ms. Dale and Mr. Krueger identified are more</p><p>akin to Princeton and Stanford, not Hampshire</p><p>and Sterling. A more recent paper by Jack</p><p>Mountjoy and Brent Hickman, using Texas</p><p>administrative earnings records, finds the same</p><p>thing with cleaner data and a more robust</p><p>identification strategy.</p><p>That doesn&#8217;t mean colleges are interchangeable.</p><p>It means that when weak private institutionscharge high prices while delivering little value,</p><p>the eventual enrollment loss and closing aren&#8217;t a</p><p>market failure. They are revealed preference</p><p>doing what it&#8217;s supposed to do. Recent analysis</p><p>of postsecondary enrollment trends finds exactly</p><p>this: The institutions losing students are</p><p>concentrated among the lowest-value-add</p><p>colleges.</p><p>A common objection is that earnings are too</p><p>narrow a measure. Many argue that college</p><p>produces transformation, citizenship, character&#8212;</p><p>things a wage record can&#8217;t capture. They&#8217;re right</p><p>that earnings aren&#8217;t everything. But they&#8217;re</p><p>wrong that the closing schools have any</p><p>comparative advantage in producing them. The</p><p>Gallup-Purdue Index, surveying more than</p><p>30,000 graduates on workplace engagement and</p><p>life satisfaction, finds that institutional type&#8212;</p><p>private vs. public, selective vs. not&#8212;explains</p><p>almost none of the variation. The same is true for</p><p>civic engagement, marriage and health.</p><p>None of this makes closing painless. A study</p><p>with the National Student Clearinghouse</p><p>Research Center finds that students who</p><p>experience a closing are 71% less likely to be</p><p>enrolled elsewhere after one month and 50% less</p><p>likely to complete a credential than matched</p><p>peers who didn&#8217;t experience a closing. On the</p><p>other side of the ledger sits a much larger pool of</p><p>future students who would otherwise spend tens</p><p>of thousands of dollars on a low-value education.</p><p>Keeping these institutions alive isn&#8217;t progressive</p><p>&#8212;it&#8217;s a transfer from poorly informed future</p><p>students to incumbent institutions.</p><p>This correction almost certainly won&#8217;t reach the</p><p>Ivy League. Researchers Raj Chetty, David</p><p>Deming and John Friedman find that &#8220;Ivy Plus&#8221;</p><p>admission has no significant effect on mean</p><p>income rank at age 33 but raises the probability</p><p>of reaching the top 1% of earnings by roughly</p><p>50%. That is a lottery ticket for which the prize</p><p>is a 40-year annuity at top-1% income. Discount</p><p>it at any reasonable rate, and the price of</p><p>admission looks like a bargain.</p><p>The interesting question isn&#8217;t the top of the</p><p>distribution. It is the vast tier in between&#8212;the</p><p>schools that are neither dying small private</p><p>institutions nor lottery-ticket Ivies. Markets</p><p>deliver competitive outcomes when buyers can</p><p>see what they are buying, when they can walksee what they are buying, when they can walk</p><p>away cheaply if they were wrong, and when they</p><p>update their views in light of new information.</p><p>The market for higher education is working on</p><p>all three counts&#8212;but slowly. Information is</p><p>buried, switching is costly, and teenagers don&#8217;t</p><p>automatically keep up on statistics about their</p><p>own futures. The closings we are witnessing are</p><p>a decade of accumulated student decisions</p><p>finally adding up.</p><p>Last month a first-generation college student</p><p>from Nebraska pitched me on a startup to fix</p><p>this. It was the 100th such pitch I&#8217;ve heard on the</p><p>subject in the past couple of years. My answer</p><p>was the same as the preceding 99: There are</p><p>already scores of consumer-facing apps in this</p><p>space and hundreds of digital tools across the</p><p>broader landscape, and students are still walking</p><p>into bad enrollment decisions. The information</p><p>exists. Artificial-intelligence chatbots are doling</p><p>out advice. What is missing, at scale, is the right</p><p>kind of conversation.</p><p>In a field experiment my team and I ran in</p><p>Houston in 2014, we put graduation rates,</p><p>postgraduation earnings and full cost in front of</p><p>high-school seniors at the moment they were</p><p>choosing where to apply. The numbers alone</p><p>didn&#8217;t move them much.</p><p>Information-only interventions across the</p><p>broader literature show the same pattern. The</p><p>information-only arm of Eric Bettinger&#8217;s H&amp;R</p><p>Block FAFSA experiment and Kelli A. Bird&#8217;s</p><p>800,000-student text-messaging trial both</p><p>produced null effects at scale. In contrast,</p><p>economist Christine Mulhern&#8217;s 2023 paper finds</p><p>that individual high-school counselors have</p><p>causal effects on educational attainment</p><p>comparable in magnitude to teachers. We need</p><p>tools that do what a good counselor does, at the</p><p>scale a human counselor never could, with the</p><p>warmth a chatbot can&#8217;t yet accomplish.</p><p>We should do all we can to accelerate market</p><p>forces in higher education. The real scandal isn&#8217;t</p><p>that hundreds of colleges are in danger of closing</p><p>&#8212;it is that we have designed K-12 so that their</p><p>equivalents never will.</p><p><em>Mr. Fryer, a Journal contributor, is a professor</em></p><p><em>of economics at Harvard, a founder of Equal</em></p><p><em>Opportunity Ventures and a senior fellow at the</em></p><p><em>Manhattan Institute.</em></p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Justice Jackson’s gratuitous rhetoric ]]></title><description><![CDATA[https://reason.com/volokh/2026/04/30/callais-right-away/?utm_source=Reason+Magazine&utm_campaign=e604a7b259-reason_brand%7Cvolokh%7Cdaily&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_31d7ef7f57-e604a7b259-589055670]]></description><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/justice-jacksons-gratuitous-rhetoric</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/justice-jacksons-gratuitous-rhetoric</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 05 May 2026 12:42:06 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t5XY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F987132f2-74a4-4a72-a1cd-bd3a066c86a7_1920x1371.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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now</span></a></p><p>https://reason.com/volokh/2026/04/30/callais-right-away/?utm_source=Reason+Magazine&amp;utm_campaign=e604a7b259-reason_brand%7Cvolokh%7Cdaily&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_term=0_31d7ef7f57-e604a7b259-589055670</p><p></p><p>https://reason.com/volokh/2026/05/05/the-laborious-kbj/?utm_source=Reason+Magazine&amp;utm_campaign=0817d92cbb-reason_brand%7Cvolokh%7Cdaily&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_term=0_31d7ef7f57-0817d92cbb-589055670</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Teachers Celebrate May Day?]]></title><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/teachers-celebrate-may-day</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/teachers-celebrate-may-day</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 01 May 2026 14:04:14 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rdEC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2173eecc-e3c1-4dde-bc7a-907a6eefc0b7_1920x1371.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rdEC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2173eecc-e3c1-4dde-bc7a-907a6eefc0b7_1920x1371.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rdEC!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2173eecc-e3c1-4dde-bc7a-907a6eefc0b7_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, 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isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/executive-branch-not-judges-determine</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2026 19:32:03 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dEoC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb53c8f90-4aa3-4705-8cda-f9a428e8867e_1920x1371.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dEoC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb53c8f90-4aa3-4705-8cda-f9a428e8867e_1920x1371.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dEoC!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb53c8f90-4aa3-4705-8cda-f9a428e8867e_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dEoC!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb53c8f90-4aa3-4705-8cda-f9a428e8867e_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dEoC!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb53c8f90-4aa3-4705-8cda-f9a428e8867e_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dEoC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb53c8f90-4aa3-4705-8cda-f9a428e8867e_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dEoC!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb53c8f90-4aa3-4705-8cda-f9a428e8867e_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dEoC!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb53c8f90-4aa3-4705-8cda-f9a428e8867e_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dEoC!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb53c8f90-4aa3-4705-8cda-f9a428e8867e_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dEoC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb53c8f90-4aa3-4705-8cda-f9a428e8867e_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Mullins v Doe</strong></p><p><strong>Trump v Miot</strong></p><p><strong>8 U.S. Code &#167; 1254a - Temporary protected status</strong></p><p><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/definitions/uscode.php?width=840&amp;height=800&amp;iframe=true&amp;def_id=8-USC-133271130-1485256779&amp;term_occur=999&amp;term_src=">Attorney General</a>, after consultation with appropriate agencies of the Government, shall determine whether the conditions warranting TPS still exist.</p><p>There is <strong>no judicial review</strong> of any determination made by the Secretary of Homeland Security regarding termination of TPS.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Border March 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[Illegal Immigration]]></description><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/border-march-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/border-march-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2026 15:42:44 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6h4R!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e5fd96b-6442-4b51-85d3-40806c54e166_3433x1919.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6h4R!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e5fd96b-6442-4b51-85d3-40806c54e166_3433x1919.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6h4R!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e5fd96b-6442-4b51-85d3-40806c54e166_3433x1919.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6h4R!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e5fd96b-6442-4b51-85d3-40806c54e166_3433x1919.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6h4R!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e5fd96b-6442-4b51-85d3-40806c54e166_3433x1919.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6h4R!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e5fd96b-6442-4b51-85d3-40806c54e166_3433x1919.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6h4R!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e5fd96b-6442-4b51-85d3-40806c54e166_3433x1919.png" width="1456" height="814" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3e5fd96b-6442-4b51-85d3-40806c54e166_3433x1919.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:814,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:162974,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/i/196013912?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e5fd96b-6442-4b51-85d3-40806c54e166_3433x1919.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6h4R!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e5fd96b-6442-4b51-85d3-40806c54e166_3433x1919.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6h4R!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e5fd96b-6442-4b51-85d3-40806c54e166_3433x1919.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6h4R!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e5fd96b-6442-4b51-85d3-40806c54e166_3433x1919.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6h4R!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3e5fd96b-6442-4b51-85d3-40806c54e166_3433x1919.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p> The Founders had three criteria for new immigrants: their qualifications; their assimilation; and their allegiance.</p><p>I support immigration. A lot of immigration. But legal immigration, with a mix of merit based (engineers, scientists, entrepreneurs, doctors, mathematicians, etc.) and opportunity-based (people who want to work hard, adopt American values, and get ahead). No doubt there are highly capable, hard working people throughout the world that want to integrate into US society with its freedom and norms. </p><p>Tough luck! To legally immigrate into the US is almost impossible unless you are a relative (8 year wait), employer sponsored or win a very limited lottery. </p><p>The law was clear. Asylum seekers shall be detained until their status is resolved. And there is no basis to seek asylum for almost all of the illegal migrants that enter from Mexico because Mexico is a safe country. </p><p>Biden lied. </p><p>How is this fair to the many people throughout the world trying to legally immigrate to the USA? </p><p>Title 8, U.S. Code, sec. 1225(b)(1)(B)(IV) states: Any alien subject to the procedures under this clause shall be detained pending a final determination of credible fear of persecution and, if found not to have such a fear, until removed. </p><p>Title 8 U.S. Code, sec 1182(f): Whenever the President finds that the entry of any aliens or of any class of aliens into the United States would be detrimental to the interests of the United States, he may by proclamation, and for such period as he shall deem necessary, suspend the entry of all aliens or any class of aliens as immigrants or nonimmigrants, or impose on the entry of aliens any restrictions he may deem to be appropriate. <br></p><p>Follow on X @rggonzox</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[SCOTUS - Louisiana v Callais]]></title><description><![CDATA[Levels the playing field]]></description><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/scotus-louisiana-v-callais</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/scotus-louisiana-v-callais</guid><pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2026 22:02:09 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!clfM!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba15fe6-b7a7-4723-83ca-a28f2793e172_2048x1160.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!clfM!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba15fe6-b7a7-4723-83ca-a28f2793e172_2048x1160.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!clfM!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba15fe6-b7a7-4723-83ca-a28f2793e172_2048x1160.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!clfM!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba15fe6-b7a7-4723-83ca-a28f2793e172_2048x1160.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!clfM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba15fe6-b7a7-4723-83ca-a28f2793e172_2048x1160.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!clfM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba15fe6-b7a7-4723-83ca-a28f2793e172_2048x1160.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!clfM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba15fe6-b7a7-4723-83ca-a28f2793e172_2048x1160.jpeg" width="1456" height="825" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/aba15fe6-b7a7-4723-83ca-a28f2793e172_2048x1160.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:825,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:663538,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/i/195925034?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba15fe6-b7a7-4723-83ca-a28f2793e172_2048x1160.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!clfM!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba15fe6-b7a7-4723-83ca-a28f2793e172_2048x1160.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!clfM!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba15fe6-b7a7-4723-83ca-a28f2793e172_2048x1160.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!clfM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba15fe6-b7a7-4723-83ca-a28f2793e172_2048x1160.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!clfM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba15fe6-b7a7-4723-83ca-a28f2793e172_2048x1160.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>For years, Democrats could dilute Republican voters, but Republicans were stopped from  diluting Democrat voters. No more. </p><p>Look at Illinois. For years Democrats diluted black voters for political reasons. Not 1 majority black district.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3o89!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89fcaa94-27ce-43b6-a59f-287536bda38a_1920x1371.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3o89!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89fcaa94-27ce-43b6-a59f-287536bda38a_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3o89!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89fcaa94-27ce-43b6-a59f-287536bda38a_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3o89!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89fcaa94-27ce-43b6-a59f-287536bda38a_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3o89!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89fcaa94-27ce-43b6-a59f-287536bda38a_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3o89!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89fcaa94-27ce-43b6-a59f-287536bda38a_1920x1371.jpeg" width="1456" height="1040" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/89fcaa94-27ce-43b6-a59f-287536bda38a_1920x1371.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1040,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:343928,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/i/195925034?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89fcaa94-27ce-43b6-a59f-287536bda38a_1920x1371.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3o89!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89fcaa94-27ce-43b6-a59f-287536bda38a_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3o89!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89fcaa94-27ce-43b6-a59f-287536bda38a_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3o89!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89fcaa94-27ce-43b6-a59f-287536bda38a_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3o89!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89fcaa94-27ce-43b6-a59f-287536bda38a_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Several bridges too far ]]></title><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/several-bridges-too-far</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/several-bridges-too-far</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2026 12:36:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9PPP!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95b1c45f-5ebd-4e1b-b903-e79441407270_1920x1371.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9PPP!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95b1c45f-5ebd-4e1b-b903-e79441407270_1920x1371.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9PPP!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95b1c45f-5ebd-4e1b-b903-e79441407270_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9PPP!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95b1c45f-5ebd-4e1b-b903-e79441407270_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9PPP!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95b1c45f-5ebd-4e1b-b903-e79441407270_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9PPP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95b1c45f-5ebd-4e1b-b903-e79441407270_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9PPP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95b1c45f-5ebd-4e1b-b903-e79441407270_1920x1371.jpeg" width="1456" height="1040" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9PPP!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95b1c45f-5ebd-4e1b-b903-e79441407270_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9PPP!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95b1c45f-5ebd-4e1b-b903-e79441407270_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9PPP!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95b1c45f-5ebd-4e1b-b903-e79441407270_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9PPP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95b1c45f-5ebd-4e1b-b903-e79441407270_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Think about it]]></title><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/think-about-it</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/think-about-it</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2026 11:54:14 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pmgk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc41f8a3e-8355-4646-b092-1482aada6d5c_1920x1371.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pmgk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc41f8a3e-8355-4646-b092-1482aada6d5c_1920x1371.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pmgk!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc41f8a3e-8355-4646-b092-1482aada6d5c_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pmgk!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc41f8a3e-8355-4646-b092-1482aada6d5c_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pmgk!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc41f8a3e-8355-4646-b092-1482aada6d5c_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pmgk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc41f8a3e-8355-4646-b092-1482aada6d5c_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pmgk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc41f8a3e-8355-4646-b092-1482aada6d5c_1920x1371.jpeg" width="1456" height="1040" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pmgk!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc41f8a3e-8355-4646-b092-1482aada6d5c_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pmgk!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc41f8a3e-8355-4646-b092-1482aada6d5c_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pmgk!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc41f8a3e-8355-4646-b092-1482aada6d5c_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pmgk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc41f8a3e-8355-4646-b092-1482aada6d5c_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div 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href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DOUd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f9f9a45-5909-47ab-a84d-84258d66f4d9_1320x967.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DOUd!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f9f9a45-5909-47ab-a84d-84258d66f4d9_1320x967.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DOUd!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f9f9a45-5909-47ab-a84d-84258d66f4d9_1320x967.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DOUd!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f9f9a45-5909-47ab-a84d-84258d66f4d9_1320x967.jpeg 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DOUd!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f9f9a45-5909-47ab-a84d-84258d66f4d9_1320x967.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DOUd!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f9f9a45-5909-47ab-a84d-84258d66f4d9_1320x967.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DOUd!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f9f9a45-5909-47ab-a84d-84258d66f4d9_1320x967.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DOUd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f9f9a45-5909-47ab-a84d-84258d66f4d9_1320x967.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" 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url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RDve!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0782091e-bf56-4127-b915-cb7f064807c6_4407x2482.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption"></p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div 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stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Who can you trust these days?]]></title><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/who-can-you-trust-these-days</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/who-can-you-trust-these-days</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2026 12:28:23 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x62P!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f707cc-8d79-487b-b6df-dfb1ee18bce2_1920x1371.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x62P!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f707cc-8d79-487b-b6df-dfb1ee18bce2_1920x1371.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x62P!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f707cc-8d79-487b-b6df-dfb1ee18bce2_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x62P!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f707cc-8d79-487b-b6df-dfb1ee18bce2_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x62P!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f707cc-8d79-487b-b6df-dfb1ee18bce2_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x62P!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f707cc-8d79-487b-b6df-dfb1ee18bce2_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x62P!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f707cc-8d79-487b-b6df-dfb1ee18bce2_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x62P!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f707cc-8d79-487b-b6df-dfb1ee18bce2_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x62P!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f707cc-8d79-487b-b6df-dfb1ee18bce2_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x62P!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f707cc-8d79-487b-b6df-dfb1ee18bce2_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Gerrymandering 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[The Constitution (Article 1 Section 4) empowers the States to determine how to elect their Representatives within whatever laws, if any, that Congress passes.]]></description><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/gerrymandering-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/gerrymandering-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2026 15:04:00 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K1Iz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d482db5-d2ea-4610-82c9-b7fc8000a1bc_4407x2482.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K1Iz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d482db5-d2ea-4610-82c9-b7fc8000a1bc_4407x2482.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K1Iz!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d482db5-d2ea-4610-82c9-b7fc8000a1bc_4407x2482.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K1Iz!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d482db5-d2ea-4610-82c9-b7fc8000a1bc_4407x2482.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K1Iz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d482db5-d2ea-4610-82c9-b7fc8000a1bc_4407x2482.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K1Iz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d482db5-d2ea-4610-82c9-b7fc8000a1bc_4407x2482.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K1Iz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d482db5-d2ea-4610-82c9-b7fc8000a1bc_4407x2482.png" width="1456" height="820" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1d482db5-d2ea-4610-82c9-b7fc8000a1bc_4407x2482.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:820,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2625412,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/i/195248112?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d482db5-d2ea-4610-82c9-b7fc8000a1bc_4407x2482.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K1Iz!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d482db5-d2ea-4610-82c9-b7fc8000a1bc_4407x2482.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K1Iz!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d482db5-d2ea-4610-82c9-b7fc8000a1bc_4407x2482.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K1Iz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d482db5-d2ea-4610-82c9-b7fc8000a1bc_4407x2482.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K1Iz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d482db5-d2ea-4610-82c9-b7fc8000a1bc_4407x2482.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p>The Constitution (Article 1 Section 4) empowers the States to determine how to elect their Representatives within whatever laws, if any, that Congress passes. To date the only law passed by Congress (<strong>2 U.S.C. &#167; 2a) </strong>requires that any voting district have only one Representative and that voting districts in any state have equal population.</p><p>SCOTUS has ruled that the Supreme Court cannot stop political gerrymandering because the Constitution gives the states the power to decide how to run their elections other than the law which prevents multiple representatives in anny one district.</p><p>The result is that many states are gerrymandering where there is a disproportion between how the voters vote and how the Representatives are apportioned. There are two ways to look at the extent of gerrymandering. One is looking at the absolute number of Representatives and the other looking at the relative proportion.</p><p><strong>The Voting Rights Act of 1965 Prevents </strong>the denial or abridgment of the right to vote on account of race, color, or membership in a language minority group. In the past, this prevented redistricting for the purpose of diluting the black vote. However, recent SCOTUS decisions appear to be recognizing that if a State districts to help Republicans it will hurt Democrats but if this is done for political purposes then it will be allowed.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What Clarence Thomas Actually Said]]></title><description><![CDATA[Progressivism is not American]]></description><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/what-clarence-thomas-actually-said</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/what-clarence-thomas-actually-said</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 18 Apr 2026 15:30:23 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-y5n!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff1bb2ef-0af6-4e52-b511-6593e92e3d90_4419x2502.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-y5n!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff1bb2ef-0af6-4e52-b511-6593e92e3d90_4419x2502.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-y5n!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff1bb2ef-0af6-4e52-b511-6593e92e3d90_4419x2502.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-y5n!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff1bb2ef-0af6-4e52-b511-6593e92e3d90_4419x2502.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-y5n!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff1bb2ef-0af6-4e52-b511-6593e92e3d90_4419x2502.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-y5n!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff1bb2ef-0af6-4e52-b511-6593e92e3d90_4419x2502.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-y5n!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff1bb2ef-0af6-4e52-b511-6593e92e3d90_4419x2502.png" width="1456" height="824" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-y5n!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff1bb2ef-0af6-4e52-b511-6593e92e3d90_4419x2502.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-y5n!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff1bb2ef-0af6-4e52-b511-6593e92e3d90_4419x2502.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-y5n!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff1bb2ef-0af6-4e52-b511-6593e92e3d90_4419x2502.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-y5n!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff1bb2ef-0af6-4e52-b511-6593e92e3d90_4419x2502.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p>There is a great deal of noise in the main stream media about Clarence Thomas&#8217;s speech at the University of Texas at Austin, claiming he was being political and attacking Democrats, liberals and progressives.</p><p></p><p>This is a lie.</p><p></p><p>If you listen to his speech (link below) you will hear that he is simple and clearly sharing his perspectives on the meaning and purpose of the Declaration of Independence, the Constitution and inalienable rights and CONTRASTING those to the perspectives of Progressives, where Progressivism is identified as the movement away from the Constitution and individual rights towards an administrative state as introduced by Wilson in 1912.</p><p></p><p>https://www.c-span.org/program/public-affairs-event/justice-thomas-speaks-in-honor-of-250th-anniversary-of-us/677395</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[SCOTUS - Chevron v Plaquemines Parish]]></title><description><![CDATA[Is someone special]]></description><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/scotus-chevron-v-plaquemines-parish</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/scotus-chevron-v-plaquemines-parish</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 18 Apr 2026 13:36:28 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g3Co!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F668454b0-54be-41c6-bf41-629fdf7f43a2_4400x2475.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g3Co!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F668454b0-54be-41c6-bf41-629fdf7f43a2_4400x2475.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g3Co!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F668454b0-54be-41c6-bf41-629fdf7f43a2_4400x2475.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g3Co!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F668454b0-54be-41c6-bf41-629fdf7f43a2_4400x2475.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g3Co!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F668454b0-54be-41c6-bf41-629fdf7f43a2_4400x2475.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g3Co!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F668454b0-54be-41c6-bf41-629fdf7f43a2_4400x2475.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g3Co!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F668454b0-54be-41c6-bf41-629fdf7f43a2_4400x2475.png" width="1456" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/668454b0-54be-41c6-bf41-629fdf7f43a2_4400x2475.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:4127234,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/i/194607622?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F668454b0-54be-41c6-bf41-629fdf7f43a2_4400x2475.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g3Co!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F668454b0-54be-41c6-bf41-629fdf7f43a2_4400x2475.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g3Co!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F668454b0-54be-41c6-bf41-629fdf7f43a2_4400x2475.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g3Co!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F668454b0-54be-41c6-bf41-629fdf7f43a2_4400x2475.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g3Co!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F668454b0-54be-41c6-bf41-629fdf7f43a2_4400x2475.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p>Federal Law 28 U.S. Code &#167; 1442(a)(1) allows a company that is being tried in a State Court related to an act of the company to move the case to Federal Court if their act is related to their work for the Federal Government.</p><p></p><p>During World War II, the Federal government contracted with Chevron to produce aviation fuel,  a critical war material. In fulfilling this contract Chevron, in significant part, relied on the refining of crude oil produced by Chevron. </p><p></p><p>In 2013 Plaquemines Parish Louisiana sued Chevron for environmental damage resulting from their crude oil production.</p><p></p><p>Yesterday, SCOTUS ruled 8-0 that Chevron can move the suits to Federal Court.</p><p></p><p>What is interesting to me is that seven Judges signed one opinion that essentially concluded that Chevron crude-oil production was &#8220;related to&#8221; their performance of its federal avgas refining duties because there was a close relationship between the two activities - not a tenuous, remote, or peripheral one. One Judge wrote a separate opinion that agreed with the result, but disagreed with the reasoning and wrote a separate opinion with a &#8220;different&#8221; reasoning.</p><p>The BIG difference: &#8220;causal-nexus&#8221; is significantly different from &#8220;closely related to.&#8221;</p><p></p><p>Not sure why the one Judge felt this distinction was worthy of a separate opinion. I am curious if this one Judge has experienced a life where they were often and frequently were treated differently with more deference and preferences to such an extent that they now think that they are uniquely special.</p><p> </p><p>28 U.S. Code &#167; 1442(a)(1) (a)A civil action or criminal prosecution that is commenced in a State court and that is against or directed to any of the following may be removed by them to the district court of the United States for the district and division embracing the place wherein it is pending: (1)The United States or any agency thereof or any officer (or any person acting under that officer) of the United States or of any agency thereof, in an official or individual capacity, for or relating to any act under color of such office or on account of any right, title or authority claimed under any Act of Congress for the apprehension or punishment of criminals or the collection of the revenue.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Facts Matter]]></title><description><![CDATA[Iran]]></description><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/facts-matter-9c0</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/facts-matter-9c0</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 18 Apr 2026 03:27:14 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blyX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6a2074ff-5c2d-48dd-8074-5b7b26df2713_1920x1371.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blyX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6a2074ff-5c2d-48dd-8074-5b7b26df2713_1920x1371.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blyX!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6a2074ff-5c2d-48dd-8074-5b7b26df2713_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blyX!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6a2074ff-5c2d-48dd-8074-5b7b26df2713_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blyX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6a2074ff-5c2d-48dd-8074-5b7b26df2713_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blyX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6a2074ff-5c2d-48dd-8074-5b7b26df2713_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blyX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6a2074ff-5c2d-48dd-8074-5b7b26df2713_1920x1371.jpeg" width="1456" height="1040" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6a2074ff-5c2d-48dd-8074-5b7b26df2713_1920x1371.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1040,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:369880,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/i/194581983?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6a2074ff-5c2d-48dd-8074-5b7b26df2713_1920x1371.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blyX!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6a2074ff-5c2d-48dd-8074-5b7b26df2713_1920x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blyX!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6a2074ff-5c2d-48dd-8074-5b7b26df2713_1920x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blyX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6a2074ff-5c2d-48dd-8074-5b7b26df2713_1920x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blyX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6a2074ff-5c2d-48dd-8074-5b7b26df2713_1920x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Who will pay back when]]></title><description><![CDATA[US Fiscal Situation]]></description><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/who-will-pay-back-when-5ef</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/who-will-pay-back-when-5ef</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2026 19:50:28 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zhfi!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c4c6e9e-3a7e-4622-a44d-e9b91e4cf169_4332x2981.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zhfi!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c4c6e9e-3a7e-4622-a44d-e9b91e4cf169_4332x2981.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zhfi!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c4c6e9e-3a7e-4622-a44d-e9b91e4cf169_4332x2981.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zhfi!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c4c6e9e-3a7e-4622-a44d-e9b91e4cf169_4332x2981.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zhfi!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c4c6e9e-3a7e-4622-a44d-e9b91e4cf169_4332x2981.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zhfi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c4c6e9e-3a7e-4622-a44d-e9b91e4cf169_4332x2981.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zhfi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c4c6e9e-3a7e-4622-a44d-e9b91e4cf169_4332x2981.png" width="1456" height="1002" 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Real Incomes]]></title><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/real-incomes</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/real-incomes</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2026 19:48:53 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fw7o!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d067c22-a87d-4b91-9d3a-be58f86c87a6_3588x2562.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fw7o!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d067c22-a87d-4b91-9d3a-be58f86c87a6_3588x2562.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fw7o!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d067c22-a87d-4b91-9d3a-be58f86c87a6_3588x2562.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fw7o!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d067c22-a87d-4b91-9d3a-be58f86c87a6_3588x2562.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fw7o!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d067c22-a87d-4b91-9d3a-be58f86c87a6_3588x2562.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fw7o!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d067c22-a87d-4b91-9d3a-be58f86c87a6_3588x2562.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fw7o!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d067c22-a87d-4b91-9d3a-be58f86c87a6_3588x2562.png" width="1456" height="1040" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fw7o!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d067c22-a87d-4b91-9d3a-be58f86c87a6_3588x2562.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fw7o!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d067c22-a87d-4b91-9d3a-be58f86c87a6_3588x2562.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fw7o!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d067c22-a87d-4b91-9d3a-be58f86c87a6_3588x2562.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fw7o!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d067c22-a87d-4b91-9d3a-be58f86c87a6_3588x2562.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Real House Hold Net Worth per Capita]]></title><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/real-house-hold-net-worth-per-capita</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/real-house-hold-net-worth-per-capita</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2026 19:47:08 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Zcs!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86484d8d-a137-4aa1-89c3-c948bbdc12e8_1805x1388.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Zcs!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86484d8d-a137-4aa1-89c3-c948bbdc12e8_1805x1388.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Zcs!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86484d8d-a137-4aa1-89c3-c948bbdc12e8_1805x1388.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Zcs!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86484d8d-a137-4aa1-89c3-c948bbdc12e8_1805x1388.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Zcs!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86484d8d-a137-4aa1-89c3-c948bbdc12e8_1805x1388.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Zcs!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86484d8d-a137-4aa1-89c3-c948bbdc12e8_1805x1388.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Inflation March 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[Better than Biden but still too high]]></description><link>https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/inflation-march-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/p/inflation-march-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Gonzalez]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 19:24:55 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_sk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a5ddef8-d5ac-443e-a177-d5d83f7b5166_3739x2635.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_sk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a5ddef8-d5ac-443e-a177-d5d83f7b5166_3739x2635.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_sk!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a5ddef8-d5ac-443e-a177-d5d83f7b5166_3739x2635.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_sk!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a5ddef8-d5ac-443e-a177-d5d83f7b5166_3739x2635.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_sk!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a5ddef8-d5ac-443e-a177-d5d83f7b5166_3739x2635.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_sk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a5ddef8-d5ac-443e-a177-d5d83f7b5166_3739x2635.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Better than Biden but still too high</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.optimistic-skeptic.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>